Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 27.920285 32.212862 36.855561 42.238807 48.297121 54.892346 62.603141
2025-01-05 21.691536 27.900798 35.253721 44.545440 55.910708 69.292452 86.167613
2025-01-12 16.599314 23.341523 31.932930 43.554443 58.716089 77.661130 102.935684
2025-01-19 12.820441 19.496822 28.563750 41.561654 59.460185 82.948043 115.749500
2025-01-26 11.514509 18.663827 28.884268 44.226788 66.265827 96.301893 139.737750
2025-02-02 10.837782 18.567450 30.116819 48.147342 74.984090 112.727365 168.901195
2025-02-09 9.517001 17.245949 29.318698 48.914817 79.118092 122.916883 189.938775
2025-02-16 8.259050 15.807528 28.115393 48.850590 81.882212 131.176688 208.581039
2025-02-23 7.133663 14.403381 26.760478 48.335380 83.799711 138.174274 225.641827
2025-03-02 6.227334 13.236942 25.634680 48.023050 85.920642 145.501768 243.501690
2025-03-09 5.452696 12.187733 24.567611 47.659646 87.855665 152.565385 261.247803
2025-03-16 4.495556 10.624449 22.377843 45.088556 85.831040 153.106435 268.638856
2025-03-23 4.126410 10.237378 22.393539 46.602518 91.158277 166.319834 297.820762
2025-03-30 3.871222 10.062843 22.816992 48.951923 98.220041 183.002393 333.916829
2025-04-06 3.298640 9.078707 21.501012 47.845314 98.950901 188.996337 352.573234
2025-04-13 2.722909 7.967050 19.756323 45.675913 97.477875 191.002230 364.482546
2025-04-20 2.628376 8.012860 20.485719 48.568239 105.798089 210.773257 408.142267
2025-04-27 2.634443 8.316454 21.815595 52.821102 117.043664 236.406043 463.346773
2025-05-04 2.399525 7.938656 21.550499 53.653205 121.589797 250.054885 497.896619
2025-05-11 2.136182 7.428673 20.906041 53.583562 124.294186 260.411827 526.992186
2025-05-18 1.878697 6.879115 20.086759 53.024944 125.921814 268.785867 552.814595
2025-05-25 1.664310 6.410394 19.399951 52.686271 127.958838 278.019117 580.636596
2025-06-01 1.473336 5.970760 18.723538 52.292189 129.826375 286.993232 608.363676